Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.001943 0.002035 0.002132 0.002241 0.002361 0.002490 0.002640
2025-06-22 0.001791 0.001921 0.002063 0.002232 0.002430 0.002656 0.002939
2025-06-29 0.001668 0.001819 0.001990 0.002201 0.002458 0.002770 0.003185
2025-07-06 0.001583 0.001749 0.001942 0.002187 0.002499 0.002894 0.003454
2025-07-13 0.001478 0.001646 0.001844 0.002101 0.002437 0.002876 0.003526
2025-07-20 0.001425 0.001601 0.001812 0.002093 0.002470 0.002982 0.003783
2025-07-27 0.001391 0.001575 0.001801 0.002108 0.002533 0.003133 0.004131
2025-08-03 0.001347 0.001535 0.001769 0.002092 0.002548 0.003216 0.004383
2025-08-10 0.001322 0.001517 0.001763 0.002110 0.002613 0.003378 0.004801
2025-08-17 0.001288 0.001485 0.001737 0.002097 0.002631 0.003467 0.005106
2025-08-24 0.001252 0.001450 0.001705 0.002073 0.002628 0.003521 0.005354
2025-08-31 0.001244 0.001450 0.001719 0.002116 0.002733 0.003768 0.006082
2025-09-07 0.001226 0.001438 0.001717 0.002135 0.002802 0.003969 0.006801
2025-09-14 0.001196 0.001407 0.001688 0.002114 0.002804 0.004045 0.007242
2025-09-21 0.001163 0.001373 0.001653 0.002080 0.002783 0.004074 0.007566
2025-09-28 0.001139 0.001349 0.001631 0.002066 0.002792 0.004165 0.008127
2025-10-05 0.001097 0.001298 0.001569 0.001988 0.002687 0.004008 0.007817
2025-10-12 0.001078 0.001280 0.001554 0.001981 0.002703 0.004108 0.008444
2025-10-19 0.001067 0.001272 0.001552 0.001994 0.002759 0.004300 0.009552
2025-10-26 0.001048 0.001252 0.001533 0.001979 0.002761 0.004374 0.010251
2025-11-02 0.001039 0.001246 0.001533 0.001996 0.002822 0.004595 0.011886
2025-11-09 0.001022 0.001229 0.001517 0.001984 0.002830 0.004689 0.013002
2025-11-16 0.001004 0.001209 0.001495 0.001962 0.002815 0.004726 0.013837